A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. Market data provided by Factset. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. or redistributed. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. 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He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Most young men are single. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. A Fox News survey of. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. As Johnson opened a lead, it sent the Republican incumbent's supporters into a frenzy. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Sign up for notifications from Insider! "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. 1:51 Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has surged to a 6-point lead in his reelection race against Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. Legal Statement. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. IE 11 is not supported. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. All rights reserved. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Lt. Gov. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. . That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. Mandela Barnes. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. TrendRadars. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Johnson got a boost from voters'. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. 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